ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯕꯦꯠ
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯕꯦꯠꯅ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯌꯥꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ ꯀꯨꯞꯏ꯫

ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ, ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ 8:1꯫ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 10.81%꯫
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯀꯔꯤꯅꯣ?
ꯆꯤꯞꯁꯦꯜꯆꯤꯞꯂꯦꯞꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯇꯥꯛꯄ ꯇꯣꯀꯟ, ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯆꯦꯛ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨ ꯕꯛꯁ ꯃꯔꯤ ꯊꯦꯡꯅꯕ ꯃꯐꯃꯗ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ, ꯈꯨꯗꯝꯅ 16-17-19-20꯫ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗꯇ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯕꯦꯠꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯀꯣꯟꯅꯥ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯧꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ, 8:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 22 ꯂꯩ꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, 1 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 2 ꯊꯦꯡꯅꯕ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯕꯥꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯠꯕꯦꯠꯕꯥꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ: ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯃꯅ 0, 1, 2, 3, 8:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕ ꯃꯔꯤ, ꯀꯥꯠꯔ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯦꯃꯤꯌꯦ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 0-1-2-3 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯑꯃꯒꯨꯝꯅ ꯂꯧꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 8 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯄꯤ꯫ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯀ꯭ꯔꯣꯁꯀꯤ ꯃꯌꯥꯏꯗ ꯆꯨꯝꯅ ꯊꯝꯒꯗꯕꯅꯤ; ꯃꯊꯛ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯃꯗꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯕꯦꯠꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ, 17:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯅꯤ꯫
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯕꯦꯠꯅ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯄꯤꯕꯒꯦ?
ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ 8.25 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯅꯤ; ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯅ 8 ꯈꯛ ꯄꯤ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕ $10 ꯒꯤ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯑꯃꯅ $80 ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37 ꯗ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯔꯤ (+$320), ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ 33 (−$330), ꯅꯦꯠ −$10꯫
ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯃꯇꯧ
ꯃꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯄꯥꯝꯕ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯈꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ: ꯃꯔꯨ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯁꯦꯜꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯄ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯄ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ “X ꯗꯒꯤ 1” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯍꯥꯌꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯕꯦꯠꯃꯅꯨꯡꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗꯀꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ: ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞ, ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ, ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯠ, ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ, ꯁꯤꯛꯁ ꯂꯥꯏꯟ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯅꯤ, ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯃꯥꯃꯥꯏ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯐꯪꯏ꯫ “ꯑꯩꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯥꯛꯇ ꯕ꯭ꯂꯣꯛ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯀꯨꯞꯄ” ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯃꯤꯅꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯗ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯚꯣꯌꯥꯖꯦꯟ ꯗꯨ ꯖꯦꯔꯣꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ · ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔꯚꯣꯌꯥꯖꯦꯟ ꯗꯨ ꯖꯦꯔꯣ“ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯒꯤ ꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕꯁꯤꯡ”: ꯆꯛꯔꯗ 22 ꯗꯒꯤ 25 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯇꯔꯦꯠ, ꯆꯤꯞ ꯃꯥꯄꯟꯅ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯒꯤ ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯎꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛꯅꯤ; ꯃꯁꯤꯅ 25-26-28-29 ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯗ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫
ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯅꯤ
16-17-19-20 ꯗ $10 ꯒꯤ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ $5 ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯅꯤ (16-17 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 19-20) ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯅꯤ: ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯀꯨꯞꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ $80 ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯅ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯀꯟꯊꯣꯀꯏ꯫ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕꯗꯤ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯗꯕ ꯑꯣꯖꯟ ꯄꯥꯝꯂꯕꯗ ꯈꯛꯇ ꯎꯕ ꯐꯪꯏ꯫
ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯥꯒꯤ ꯅꯣꯠ
ꯗꯕꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯇꯦꯕꯜ, ꯐꯦꯜꯠ, ꯀ꯭ꯂꯣꯊ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯇ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯉꯥꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ 0-00-1-2-3 ꯅ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯒꯤ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯧꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ 6.6 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯨꯠꯇ 6 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯄꯤ: 7.89% ꯑꯦꯖ, ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯐꯠꯇꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ 8 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯄꯤꯕ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯀꯤ ꯕꯥꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯠꯇꯤ 2.70% ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫
ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ
ꯌꯥꯔꯣꯏ꯫ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯕꯛꯁ ꯃꯔꯤꯃꯛ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ ꯁꯥꯝꯒꯗꯕꯅꯤ꯫ 1-2-4-5 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯅꯤ; 1-3-4-6 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫
ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗꯤ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ: 37 ꯗꯒꯤ 4, ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ 8 ꯗꯒꯤ 1꯫
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ

ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯌꯥꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯆꯠꯂꯣꯏ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.