ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ · ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ · ꯃꯤꯅꯤꯠ 6

ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ: 1-3-2-6

ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ 1, 3, 2 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 6 ꯊꯝꯃꯤ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯗ 1 ꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯃꯃꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯍꯟꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ꯫ ꯅꯦꯒꯦꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯃꯃꯒ꯫

ꯊꯨꯅ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯗ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯗ $10 ꯊꯝꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯤꯃꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯧꯔꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 60 ꯒꯤ 1-3-2-6 ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ 33 ꯗ: ꯇꯔꯥꯇꯔꯨꯛꯅ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯣꯀꯈꯤ, ꯇꯔꯦꯠꯅ ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯣꯀꯈꯤ, ꯑꯅꯤꯅ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯟꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯛ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ +$120 ꯐꯪꯈꯤ꯫ +$80 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕ ꯃꯍꯩ −$50꯫ ꯂꯦꯞꯄ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯌꯥꯎꯕ ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫

ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ
ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗ $10
ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯕ
1 → 3 → 2 → 6
p(ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯕ)
5.6%
ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯕꯗ ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕ ꯃꯍꯩ
+$120

ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗ ꯆꯠꯄ

ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯆꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯔꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯑꯍꯧꯕꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫

1326ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ
ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ1ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩ0ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ0

ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯇꯅꯤ꯫

ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ

ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯦꯜꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯇ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 1 ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗ 3 ꯊꯝꯃꯤ (ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛ ꯂꯩꯔꯤꯕ 2 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ 1 ꯍꯥꯄꯆꯤꯟꯗꯨꯅ)꯫ ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯗ 2 ꯊꯝꯃꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯧꯊꯣꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯁꯨꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯗ 6 ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯃꯔꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯅ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ +12 ꯒ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ; ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ 1 ꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯑꯁꯨꯝꯅ ꯁꯦꯃꯈꯤ: ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ 2 ꯃꯥꯡꯏ, ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯁꯨ +2 ꯂꯦꯡꯏ (ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ +4 ꯂꯩ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 2 ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ), ꯃꯔꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯅ ꯂꯦꯡꯏ (+6 ꯂꯩ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 6 ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ)꯫ ꯃꯤꯅ ꯄꯥꯝꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗꯤ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯁꯨꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯔꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯁꯨ ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 1–30

ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯟ꯫ ꯇꯔꯥꯅ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯈꯤ (ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ −$10), ꯃꯉꯥꯅ ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ (ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ −$20), ꯑꯅꯤꯅ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ (ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ +$20), ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 27–30 ꯗ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯟꯈꯤ (ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ, +$120)꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 30 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯍꯩ −$40, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 26 ꯗ −$160 ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯊꯕꯛ ꯇꯧꯔꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯍꯅꯈꯤ; ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯁꯤ 5.6% ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯂꯥꯀꯄꯈꯛꯅꯤ꯫

ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯕꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯍꯩ
1ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ10$10−$10
2ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ10, 30$20−$20
3ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ10, 30, 20$0+$20
4–17ꯃꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ 1 ꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ≤ 30≤ $20−$150
18ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ10, 30, 20, 60$0+$120
30 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ 18, ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ 1−$40

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 31–60

ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ ꯇꯔꯥꯃꯉꯥ: ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 44–47 ꯗ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯟꯗꯨꯅ +$120 ꯐꯪꯈꯤ, ꯑꯅꯤꯅ ꯃꯔꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯌꯧꯔꯒ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯈꯤ (ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯍꯩ $0: +$60 ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯈꯤ, ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ $60 ꯊꯝꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤ)꯫ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩ −$10; ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕ −$50; ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 47 ꯗ +$80꯫ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ 33 ꯗ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯕ ꯑꯅꯤ, ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ 1.8 ꯒ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕꯗ: ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯁꯦꯝꯄꯜ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫

ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ: ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯇꯔꯥꯑꯃꯥꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯒꯥ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕ ꯃꯍꯩ
+$820$0−$1,000+$360−$5000125250375500ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯃꯍꯩ
ꯁꯦꯁꯟ 1,000 × ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 500 · ꯃꯆꯨ ꯑꯃꯨ-ꯂꯩꯃꯜ p10/p25/p75/p90, ꯑꯉꯧ-ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ, ꯃꯌꯥꯏꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯝ 82 · ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯀ꯭ꯕꯥꯟꯇꯥꯏꯜ ꯎꯅꯕ ꯆꯥꯔꯠꯀꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ ꯃꯧꯁ ꯆꯠꯍꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ
  • p10 −$800
  • p25 −$520
  • ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ −$240
  • p75 +$70
  • p90 +$350
ꯁꯦꯁꯟ 1,000 × ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 500 · y-ꯑꯦꯛꯁꯤꯁ 1ꯁꯨꯕ–99ꯁꯨꯕ ꯄꯔꯁꯦꯟꯇꯥꯏꯜ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯥ ꯀꯛꯊꯠꯂꯤ (ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ −$1,000ꯗꯒꯤ +$1,200ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯥ) · ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 500 · ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯝ $10 · ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ
ꯑꯄꯤꯛꯄ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯡꯕꯁꯤꯡ, ꯃꯇꯝ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯆꯣꯡꯊꯣꯀꯄꯁꯤꯡ꯫ 1-3-2-6 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ; ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯆꯥꯡꯈꯛ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯏ꯫

ꯁꯦꯟꯒꯤ ꯍꯤꯁꯥꯕ

ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ $1,200, ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯇꯤꯡꯗ $600 ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯗꯕꯒ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕꯗ꯫ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $32; ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯃꯍꯩ −$50, ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯀꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯠ; ꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯂꯥꯞꯄ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ꯫ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯃꯒꯠꯂꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯂꯩꯔꯤꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏꯕ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯍꯟꯕ ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯃꯤꯠꯌꯦꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯅꯤ꯫ ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯅ ꯄꯤꯔꯕ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯒ ꯃꯗꯨ ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜꯅꯤ꯫

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯄꯤꯔꯕ ꯆꯤꯞꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜꯅꯤ꯫

ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯎꯠꯂꯤꯕ

1-3-2-6 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯒꯤ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯌꯥꯎꯗꯕꯒꯨꯝ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯍꯟꯅꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯟꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯡ ꯁꯦꯃꯗꯣꯛꯂꯕ ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯅ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯍꯧꯕꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯔꯤꯚꯔꯁ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → (18/37)⁴ = 5.6% ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ 12 ꯒꯤ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯁꯦꯜꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯄ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯄ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ “X ꯗꯒꯤ 1” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯍꯥꯌꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ ꯍꯤꯁꯥꯕꯅ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤꯔꯦ; ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯂꯥꯄꯊꯣꯛꯅꯕ ꯉꯃꯗꯕ 2.70% ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯄꯤꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯆꯧꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯈꯔꯗ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯌꯦꯟꯊꯣꯛꯀꯅꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯈꯛ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤ꯫ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯅꯕ ꯄꯥꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯑꯀꯥꯏꯕꯥ ꯄꯤꯗꯕ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫

ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ

ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯤ 1-2-4-8 ꯅꯠꯇꯅ 1-3-2-6?

1-2-4-8 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯔꯤ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯤ ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯅꯤ; ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ 1-3-2-6 ꯅ ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ 2 ꯂꯧꯊꯣꯀꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯁꯨꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯁꯨ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯀꯔꯤꯃꯠꯇ ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯦ꯫ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫

ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯐꯥꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯀꯌꯥꯗ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯎꯕꯒꯦ?

ꯈꯔꯥ ꯃꯥꯡꯂꯤ, ꯆꯣꯡꯊꯣꯀꯄ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯑꯅꯤꯒ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ꯫ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ ꯑꯁꯤꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 60 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯃꯉꯥꯗ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ ꯑꯅꯤꯈꯛ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯗꯨꯅ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫

ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯕ ꯌꯥꯕꯔꯥ?

ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯈꯔꯅ 1-3-2-6-12 ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯩ꯫ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯇꯃꯒꯤ 2.7% ꯈꯛꯇꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ (ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯉꯥ) ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫

ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ

ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯔꯤ: 5.6%꯫ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯈꯛ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤ꯫

ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯔꯤ: 5.6%꯫ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯈꯛ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤ꯫

ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. ꯁ꯭ꯞꯔꯤꯡꯒꯔ, 2010꯫ ꯆꯦꯞꯇꯔ 13, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ꯫
ꯌꯦꯡꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ 2026-09-28ꯃꯣꯗꯦꯜ: ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ, ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯃꯦꯊꯗꯣꯂꯣꯖꯤ ↗ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ ↗