ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯊꯤꯕ ꯗꯤꯇꯦꯛꯇꯤꯚ
ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯂꯩꯇꯕ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯌꯥꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 3,000ꯒꯤ ꯂꯣꯒ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯁꯥꯠꯄ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯊꯤꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯕꯀꯤ ꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯁꯤꯡ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕꯅꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯂꯥꯑꯣꯊꯣꯀꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫
ꯆꯛꯔ ꯃꯉꯥ, ꯋꯥꯔꯦꯞ ꯃꯉꯥ꯫ ꯍꯤꯠ ꯃꯦꯞ ꯑꯃꯥ, ±2σ ꯕꯦꯟꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯕꯥꯔ ꯆꯥꯔꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯥꯏ-ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯦꯁ꯭ꯠꯂꯦꯕꯀꯥꯏ-ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯦꯁ꯭ꯠꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯎꯈꯤꯕ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯁꯤꯡꯕꯨ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ n/37 ꯒ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯇꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯤꯀꯦꯜ ꯇꯦꯁ꯭ꯠ꯫ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯂꯩꯕꯔꯥ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯋꯥꯌꯦꯜ ꯇꯧꯅꯕ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯥ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯂꯩ; ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯄꯣꯏꯟꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯨꯅ ꯍꯤꯟꯠ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯐꯪꯏ꯫ ꯆꯛꯔꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕꯅꯤ꯫
5ꯒꯤ ꯆꯛꯔ 1 · ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 3,000
ꯁ꯭ꯀꯣꯔ
9–10: ꯖꯦꯒꯔꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯀꯄꯨ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯌꯦꯡꯅꯕ ꯄꯥꯃꯒꯅꯤ꯫
6–8: ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯍꯤꯠ ꯃꯦꯞ ꯄꯥꯕ ꯉꯝꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕꯇ ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯦꯡꯅꯕ ꯉꯝꯏ꯫
3–5: ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯃꯄꯥꯉ꯭ꯒꯜ ꯀꯟꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯈꯤ; ꯃꯤꯠꯅ ꯎꯗꯕ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯆꯥꯡꯌꯦꯡꯅꯤ꯫
3ꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯂꯕꯗꯤ: “ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯊꯤꯗꯣꯛꯀꯅꯤ” ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ “ꯁꯦꯝꯄꯜ ꯁꯥꯏꯖ” ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯂꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯄꯥꯉ꯭ꯒꯜ ꯀꯟꯕ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯈꯛꯇ ꯆꯥꯡꯕꯅꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯤꯠꯅ ꯎꯗꯕ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯦ꯫
ꯃꯁꯤ ꯀꯔꯤꯅ ꯀꯟꯍꯜꯂꯤꯕꯒꯦ
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 3,000 ꯂꯩꯕ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯔꯣꯇꯔꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯀꯣꯠ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁ꯭ꯂꯣꯠ, ꯀꯞ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 81 ꯑꯣꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯀꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯠ; ꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯂꯥꯞꯄ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 9 ꯃꯔꯛ ꯑꯣꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯈꯛꯇꯅ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯈꯔꯥ ±2σ ꯕꯦꯟꯗꯀꯤ ꯃꯄꯥꯟꯗ ꯂꯩꯒꯅꯤ꯫ +40%ꯒꯤ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ 113 ꯃꯔꯛ ꯑꯣꯏ, 3.5σ ꯃꯔꯛ; +20%ꯗ 97 ꯃꯔꯛ ꯑꯣꯏ, 2σ ꯌꯧꯗꯦ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ ꯎꯕ ꯉꯃꯗꯦ꯫ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔꯁꯤꯡꯆꯛꯔꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯔꯛ ꯂꯩꯇꯅ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯅ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ, ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯀꯥꯡꯂꯨꯞ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯅ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ: ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯆꯛꯔꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯈꯤꯕꯁꯤ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ 5ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯅꯅꯤ, ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯃꯅꯥꯛ ꯅꯀꯄ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯦꯀꯥꯅꯤꯀꯦꯜ ꯑꯁꯣꯏꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯂꯩꯅꯩ꯫
ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ
ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕꯗ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯀꯟꯕ ꯁꯀꯤꯜ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯁꯥꯠꯄ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯊꯤꯕ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ; ꯂꯩꯇꯕ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯤꯗꯣꯛꯇꯕꯅꯤ꯫
ꯃꯄꯥꯉ꯭ꯒꯜ ꯀꯟꯕ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯂꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯀꯌꯥ; ꯃꯤꯠꯅ ꯎꯗꯕ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯂꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥ ꯀꯌꯥ꯫ ꯖꯦꯒꯔꯒꯤ ꯏꯃꯨꯡꯅ ꯆꯛꯔꯁꯤꯡ ꯍꯞꯇꯥ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯌꯦꯡꯈꯤ꯫
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ
ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯊꯤꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯌꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…”