ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ: ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ
$500 ꯒꯤ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗ ꯗꯣꯂꯥꯔ ꯇꯔꯥ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯟꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯃꯃꯒ, ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯍꯟꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯌꯥꯎꯅ꯫
$1,000 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯗꯒꯤ ꯁꯤꯃꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯧꯔꯕ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯑꯄꯤꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ 41, ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯇꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯌꯥꯗꯕ ꯇꯔꯦꯠꯁꯨꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ $410 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯗꯨ $220 ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯨꯅ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤꯗꯤ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯇꯧꯕꯅꯤ꯫
ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ
ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯗ $10 ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯟꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗ $10 ꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯄ꯫ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩꯇꯦꯕꯜꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩꯌꯥꯍꯜꯂꯤꯕ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯉꯝꯈꯩ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯡꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $500, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯅ ꯌꯥꯗꯕ $640 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯇꯔꯨꯛꯅ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯀꯥꯏꯍꯜꯂꯤ; ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ (19/37)⁶ ≈ 1.8% ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ 50 ꯂꯩ꯫ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ: ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯀꯥꯏꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ 60%, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯥꯏꯔꯕꯗ $630 ꯃꯥꯡꯕ꯫
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 1–30
ꯃꯇꯝ ꯄꯨꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯕꯒꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯗꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯛꯁꯅꯗ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →: ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯁꯤꯡ, ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ +$10 ꯀꯥꯟꯍꯟꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 30 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ 17 ꯂꯩꯔꯦ, ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯅ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ $170 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯔꯦ꯫ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯤ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯎꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ $80 ꯅꯤ꯫ $10 ꯒꯤ ꯅꯣꯠ ꯁꯦꯝꯕ ꯃꯦꯁꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯒꯨꯝ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯏ꯫
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 31–60
ꯃꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯃꯔꯤꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯑꯃꯒ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ (ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ $160 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ, ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯥ), ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯈꯔꯒꯤ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ $310 ꯊꯃꯈꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯊꯧꯅ ꯂꯩꯕꯒꯨꯝ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯍꯅꯈꯤ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 60 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ: ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ 41 ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤ, $410 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯈꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 30 ꯗꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯁꯦꯜꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯁꯥꯟꯅꯅꯕ ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ꯫ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯊꯃꯒꯗꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯋꯥꯔꯦꯞ ꯂꯧꯕꯅꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯒꯤ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯃꯐꯝ $1,040 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯍꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯥꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯡꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯌꯥꯝ ꯁꯔꯨꯛꯇ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯨꯝꯅ ꯎꯏ꯫
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 61–66
ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ꯫ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320: $630 ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤ꯫ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ $640 ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯅꯤ; ꯉꯝꯈꯩ $500 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯀꯥꯏꯔꯦ꯫ ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯅ $500 ꯊꯝꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ (ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯁꯨ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯑꯗꯨꯗ $130 ꯃꯥꯡꯂꯤ) ꯅꯠꯔꯒ $10 ꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯌꯥꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ꯫ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯃꯨꯕꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯅꯣꯌꯥꯔ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯇꯔꯨꯛ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 1.8% ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯅ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ 45 ꯆꯠꯈ꯭ꯔꯦ꯫ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ 45 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯀꯗꯥꯏꯗꯃꯛꯇ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯌꯧꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ 55% ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯂꯥꯛ ꯐꯗꯕꯅꯥ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ; ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ ꯑꯗꯨꯅꯤ꯫
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ −$1,000
- p75 +$790
- p90 +$1,690
ꯁꯦꯟꯒꯤ ꯍꯤꯁꯥꯕ
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 60 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ $410 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯈꯤ, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 66 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ $220 ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤ꯫ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ: ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 66 ꯗ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ $2,100, $10 ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤ $660 ꯒ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕꯗ꯫ $2,100 ꯒꯤ ꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯁꯦꯜꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ, ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯁꯨ ꯌꯥꯎꯅ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯍꯦꯟꯗꯜ, ꯑꯦꯛꯁꯟ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $57; ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ −$220 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯗꯨꯗꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯀꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯠ; ꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯂꯥꯞꯄ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯀꯨꯞꯅ ꯅꯦꯝꯃꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤ ꯂꯦꯐꯇꯀꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯏ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯗꯤꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯕ꯭ꯌꯨꯁꯟ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯑꯉꯀꯄꯥ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ $400 ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯣꯞ-ꯋꯤꯟꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯁ꯭ꯇꯣꯞ-ꯋꯤꯟꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯂꯦꯞꯂꯕ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯄꯥꯟꯗꯝ, ꯃꯗꯨ ꯌꯧꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯒ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 60 ꯗ ꯂꯦꯞꯂꯝꯂꯕꯗꯤ $410 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯗꯨꯅ ꯆꯠꯀꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯗꯁꯨ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 1.8% ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯂꯩꯒꯅꯤ꯫
ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯎꯠꯂꯤꯕ
ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯅ 48.65% ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯂꯒꯤ 98% ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ 2% ꯗ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯦꯜꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯇ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 63 ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯣꯟꯊꯣꯀꯏ꯫ ꯗꯣꯂꯥꯔ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯇꯦ; ꯗꯣꯂꯥꯔꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯦꯟꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫ ꯑꯩꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯥꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯔꯤꯕ ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯊꯃꯈꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯗ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤ꯫ ꯆꯍꯤ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯆꯂꯥꯏꯔꯤꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯅꯨꯡꯊꯤꯜ ꯃꯌꯥꯝꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯀꯅꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯆꯍꯤ ꯑꯗꯨꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯒꯅꯤ꯫
ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯂꯥꯀꯄꯒꯦ
ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37 ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 19 ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤ꯫ ꯔꯣ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯗꯕꯜ ꯇꯧꯔꯤꯕ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯥ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯎꯠꯂꯤ꯫
| ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ | ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ | ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯨꯝꯅ 1 / … | ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯥ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ | ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $1 | $2 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $3 | $4 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $7 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $15 | $16 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $31 | $32 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $63 | $64 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $127 | $128 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $255 | $256 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $511 | $512 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $1,023 | $1,024 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $2,047 | $2,048 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $4,095 | $4,096 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $8,191 | $8,192 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $16,383 | $16,384 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $32,767 | $32,768 |
ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ 19/37 ꯃꯁꯥꯃꯛꯀꯥ ꯃꯜꯇꯤꯞꯂꯥꯏ ꯇꯧꯕꯅꯤ, ꯈꯅꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯒꯥ ꯊꯤꯕ꯫ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯍꯧꯕ ꯌꯥꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯂꯩ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯔꯣ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯎꯠꯂꯤꯕꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯋꯥꯡꯏ꯫
ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ
ꯇꯔꯨꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯍꯨꯠꯇ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯃꯥꯄꯟꯅ ꯀꯥꯏꯍꯜꯂꯤ: ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 0.25%, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯗ $5,110 ꯃꯥꯡꯏ꯫ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯈꯟꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯄ ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯣꯛ, ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯣꯛ, −2.70% ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫
ꯃꯁꯤ ꯃꯇꯃꯒꯤ 48.65% ꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯀꯅꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯕꯁꯨ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ −$130 ꯗ ꯊꯃꯒꯅꯤ꯫ ꯀꯥꯏꯔꯕ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯐꯕ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ; ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯃꯊꯪꯗ ꯈꯅꯒꯗꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯗꯨꯈꯛ ꯂꯩ꯫
ꯍꯣꯌ, ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ꯫ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫
ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯀꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ
ꯃꯁꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕꯗ ꯅꯍꯥꯛ ꯃꯁꯥꯃꯛꯅ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯊꯨꯡꯗꯨꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯤ; ꯁꯦꯝ ꯁꯥꯔꯕ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯍꯥꯡꯗꯣꯛꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫
$1 ꯗꯒꯤ $500 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕꯒꯤ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ, ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯕꯒꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯗꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯛꯁꯅꯗ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $1 ꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯧꯏ꯫ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯀꯌꯥꯅ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯅꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯦꯞꯍꯟꯕꯒꯦ, ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯃꯥꯡꯂꯕꯒꯦ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯒꯦ?
ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯎꯠꯄ
ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯃꯥꯄꯟ: $511 ꯃꯥꯡꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ $512 ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯁꯤꯛꯋꯦꯟꯁ ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ 403 ꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯊꯣꯀꯏ꯫
ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 256: ꯄꯨꯟꯅ $511꯫ ꯇꯔꯥꯁꯨꯕꯥ ꯑꯗꯨ $512 ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯅꯤ, ꯉꯝꯈꯩ ꯑꯗꯨꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕ $500 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ $11 ꯃꯥꯡꯍꯜꯂꯤ; ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ $1,011 ꯃꯥꯡꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫
ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ 19/37 ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯐꯪꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯃꯥꯄꯟꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ (19/37)⁹ ≈ 0.25%, ꯁꯤꯛꯋꯦꯟꯁ ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ 403 ꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ꯫ ꯂꯣꯏꯔꯕ ꯁꯤꯛꯋꯦꯟꯁ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯅ $1 ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ $511 ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ $402 ꯒꯤ ꯑꯄꯤꯀꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯁꯤꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯅꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯊꯥꯖꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯤ 2.70% ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯏ꯫
ꯗꯕꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ (20/38)⁹, ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ 323 ꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ꯫ ꯕꯣꯂꯃꯦꯟ (2021) ꯅ “ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ 833 ꯗ 1” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯏꯔꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤ (18/38)⁹, ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯄꯟꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯅꯤ꯫
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ
ꯑꯄꯤꯛꯄ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ 41 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯆꯧꯕ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯃꯗꯨꯅꯤ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.”