ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ, ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯗꯨꯅ
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯗ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯂꯩꯕꯒꯦ, ꯃꯤꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯤꯕ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯄꯣꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯒꯥ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯗꯨꯅ꯫
ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 50 ꯀꯣꯏꯕ ꯂꯥꯏꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ $10 ꯊꯝꯂꯕꯗ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ $13.51, ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ $6.76, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯗ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ $27꯫ ꯁꯤꯅꯦꯃꯥ, ꯕꯣꯂꯤꯡ, ꯖꯤꯝ, ꯒꯣꯜꯐꯀꯤ ꯔꯥꯎꯟꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯀꯟꯁꯔꯠ ꯑꯃꯒꯥ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯔꯕꯗ, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯃꯌꯥꯏ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏꯕ ꯄꯣꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ, ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯒꯤ ꯑꯀꯣꯌꯕꯗ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯅ ꯂꯩꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯡ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯇ ꯋꯥꯡꯏ, ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯅꯦꯝꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ꯫
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯀꯂꯝ
ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ = ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ × ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ / 37 (ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯕꯦꯠꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ, ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18, 1:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ / 74)꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯅꯤ: ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯃꯁꯤꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯅꯤ꯫ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ $10 ꯊꯝꯂꯕꯗ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯄ ꯃꯑꯣꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯎꯠꯂꯤ; ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯆꯥꯡ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯅ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯎ꯫
ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕ
ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯑꯆꯧꯕ ꯁꯍꯔ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ 2026 ꯒꯤ ꯈꯟꯊꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯁꯤꯡꯅꯤ; ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯐꯃꯗ ꯈꯦꯟꯅꯒꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯡꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯆꯨꯝꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯍꯧꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯤꯗꯨꯅ ꯇꯧꯕ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏꯕ ꯄꯣꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯅ ꯂꯩꯗꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩ꯫
ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯅ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯄꯤꯕꯒꯦ
ꯀꯅꯥꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯁꯤꯅꯦꯃꯥꯗꯒꯤ $100 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯗꯨꯅ ꯊꯣꯔꯛꯇꯦ꯫ ꯃꯤꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯄꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯃꯅꯥꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯗꯤꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯕ꯭ꯌꯨꯁꯟ ꯑꯗꯨꯅꯤ: ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯄꯨꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ 42% ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛꯅꯤ; ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕꯅꯤ; ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯁꯨ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨ ꯇꯤꯀꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯀꯄ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡ ꯍꯟꯅ ꯐꯪꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯂꯧꯕ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯊꯕꯛ ꯑꯁꯤꯕꯨ ꯆꯥꯡ ꯆꯥꯅꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯤ꯫
ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯁꯥꯡꯍꯟꯕ
ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯍꯜꯂꯨ: ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯔꯛꯏ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯣꯏꯗꯕꯅꯤ: ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯔꯛꯏ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯈꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ: ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯔꯛꯏ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯊꯥꯗꯗꯨꯅ $5 ꯊꯝꯕ ꯃꯤꯑꯣꯏ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯈꯟꯊꯕꯗ $1.70 ꯄꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ, ꯗꯤꯂꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯋꯥꯔꯤ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯐꯪꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯐꯪꯏ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯕꯅ ꯃꯩꯔꯥꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯇꯧꯗꯕ ꯃꯑꯣꯡꯗ ꯈꯥꯡꯕ ꯉꯝꯕꯕꯨ ꯃꯅꯥ ꯄꯤ꯫
ꯑꯆꯨꯝꯕ ꯈꯪꯖꯤꯅꯒꯠꯄ
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯂꯣꯇꯔꯤ ꯇꯤꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯌꯥꯎꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯃꯌꯥꯏ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏꯕ ꯄꯣꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯊꯨꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯠꯊꯥꯡꯗ ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯐꯥꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯈꯨꯠꯇ ꯂꯩ꯫ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯇꯦꯕꯜ, ꯐꯦꯜꯠ, ꯀ꯭ꯂꯣꯊ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯇꯦ꯫ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯌꯥꯏꯕꯒꯦ ꯋꯥꯔꯦꯞ ꯂꯧꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯗꯨꯗꯒꯤ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯁꯦꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ; ꯁꯥꯏꯠ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯋꯥꯍꯩ ꯄꯔꯦꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯐꯨꯠꯅꯣꯠꯁꯤꯡꯅꯤ꯫
ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ
ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯗ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ, ꯌꯥꯃꯗ꯭ꯔꯕ ꯍꯣꯌ: ꯁ꯭ꯂꯣꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯨꯅ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯂꯩ꯫
ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯈꯉꯗꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ ꯁꯦꯝꯕ ꯌꯥꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫
ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯅ ꯄꯤꯈꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯦ꯫
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ
ꯑꯆꯨꯝꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗ, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯃꯌꯥꯏ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏꯕ ꯄꯣꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.