ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯁꯤꯡ · ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ · ꯃꯤꯅꯤꯠ 7

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ / ꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ

ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯌꯥꯝꯅꯥ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯗ ꯁꯦꯃꯒꯠꯂꯤ ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯂꯩꯕꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯄꯥꯏꯁꯥ ꯊꯥꯗꯣꯛꯄꯒꯥ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯊꯨꯅ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ 48.65% ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ, 50% ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ ꯃꯆꯨ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯤꯕ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 2.70% ꯒꯤ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯎꯏ꯫

p(ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ)
48.65%
p(ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ 10)
0.074%
ꯑꯦꯖ
2.70%
ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ
1.35%

ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯅꯕ

ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯇꯤꯛ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕ ꯃꯆꯨꯗ (“ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯥ ꯆꯠꯄ”) ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯇꯤꯛ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕ ꯃꯆꯨꯗ (“ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯝꯅꯤ”) ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜꯃꯇꯝ ꯁꯥꯡꯅ ꯌꯦꯡꯂꯕꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯃꯍꯩ꯫ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ −1/37꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ: ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ −2.70%꯫ ꯆꯛꯔꯅ ꯃꯁꯥꯅ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯇꯤꯛ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯈꯤꯕꯒꯦ ꯈꯉꯗꯦ꯫ ꯁꯥꯡꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯥ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯅꯕ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯒꯅꯤ ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯃꯍꯩ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯒꯅꯤ, ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯅ ꯊꯃꯈꯤꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯅꯕ 18/37 ꯅꯤ꯫

ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯇꯒꯤ ꯍꯧꯕ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ k ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 1
48.65%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 2
23.67%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 3
11.51%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 4
5.60%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 5
2.72%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 6
1.33%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 7
0.645%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 8
0.314%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 9
0.153%
ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ 10
0.074%
%
024.3248.65%
ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯇꯒꯤ ꯍꯧꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ (18/37)ᵏ꯫ ꯁꯥꯡꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯑꯁꯨꯝꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯀꯗꯥꯏꯗꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯋꯥꯡꯏ꯫
ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯏ, ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄꯅ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯇ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ; ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯇ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯅ ꯂꯧꯏ꯫

ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯊꯥꯖꯕ: ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯣꯛꯀꯗꯕ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯂꯥꯛꯂꯦ

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 200 ꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯌꯥꯎꯕꯒꯦ

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 200 ꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯃꯆꯨ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯉꯥ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯃꯇꯃꯒꯤ 95% ꯔꯣꯝ ꯀꯗꯥꯏꯗꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯊꯣꯀꯏ; ꯅꯤꯄꯥꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ 40% ꯔꯣꯝ; ꯇꯔꯥ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ 12% ꯔꯣꯝ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯇ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯎꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯕꯨ ꯊꯨꯒꯥꯏꯈꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯅꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡꯏ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯄꯤꯈꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯅꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡꯏ꯫ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯅ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯐꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯂꯤ꯫

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 200 ꯗ ꯃꯆꯨ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ
5 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ≈ 95%
6 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ≈ 75%
7 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ≈ 55%
8 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ≈ 40%
10 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ≈ 12%
12 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯍꯦꯟꯕ≈ 3%
ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁꯤꯃꯨꯂꯦꯁꯟꯗꯒꯤ ꯂꯧꯔꯕ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ꯫ ꯁꯥꯡꯂꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯔꯦꯟꯗꯝ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯊꯪꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯄꯨꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯑꯣꯡꯅꯤ, ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯛꯁꯤ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯃꯆꯨꯒꯤ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ: ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯁꯤꯡ

ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →/ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯗꯕꯦꯠꯑꯃꯨꯕꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯅꯣꯌꯥꯔ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯆꯂꯥꯏꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ: ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯕꯒꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯗꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯛꯁꯅꯗ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, ꯐꯤꯕꯣꯅꯥꯆꯤꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯐꯤꯕꯣꯅꯥꯆꯤ1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13… ꯁꯤꯛꯋꯦꯟꯁ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ: ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ, ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯈꯣꯡꯊꯥꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, ꯗꯥꯂꯥꯝꯕꯦꯌꯔ, ꯂꯥꯕꯨꯁꯦꯌꯔꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯂꯥꯕꯨꯁꯦꯌꯔꯀꯛꯊꯠꯄꯒꯤ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ: ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯂꯥꯏꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯏꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯊꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯛꯊꯠꯄꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯥꯄꯆꯤꯟꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯅ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯍꯧꯕꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯔꯤꯚꯔꯁ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →꯫ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯈꯔꯅ ꯃꯆꯨꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯑꯈꯟꯅꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯁꯤꯡ ꯍꯥꯄꯆꯤꯜꯂꯤ, ꯈꯨꯗꯝ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯆꯨ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯄ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯀꯨꯟꯗ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯌꯥꯃꯗꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯈꯤꯕ ꯃꯆꯨꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ꯫ ꯍꯥꯄꯆꯤꯜꯂꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯑꯋꯥꯕ ꯄꯨꯔꯛꯇꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯁꯨ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ; ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯃꯃꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯍꯟꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ꯫ ꯅꯦꯒꯦꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤ꯫

ꯐꯤꯕꯣꯅꯥꯆꯤ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯂꯥꯕꯨꯁꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ

ꯃꯁꯤ ꯀꯗꯥꯏꯗ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯒꯗꯒꯦ

ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯕꯦꯠꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ, ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18, 1:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯄꯥꯝꯂꯕꯗ, ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯅꯤꯌꯝꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ 1.35% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯅꯤꯌꯝꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯅ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯂꯩꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯒꯤꯁꯦꯜꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ, ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯁꯨ ꯌꯥꯎꯅ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯍꯦꯟꯗꯜ, ꯑꯦꯛꯁꯟ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 2.70% ꯗꯒꯤ 1.35% ꯗ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯈꯥꯌꯏ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯂꯃꯥꯏ ꯑꯁꯤꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯄ ꯉꯝꯕ “ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ” ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫ $10 × ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ −$27 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ −$13.50 ꯒꯤ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗ $10 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100$
ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ (ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ)
$13.51
ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ
$27.03
ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ
$52.63
$
026.32$52.63

ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯣꯟꯇꯦ ꯀꯥꯔꯂꯣꯒꯤ ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯋꯥꯈꯜ

1913 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯨꯕ 26 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯃꯤꯡꯂꯩꯕ ꯋꯥꯔꯤꯅꯤ, ꯖꯨꯌꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯋꯥꯈꯂꯒꯤ ꯂꯃꯥꯏꯗ ꯍꯥꯌꯔꯤ꯫ ꯋꯥꯔꯤ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯗꯨꯗꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯊꯣꯀꯈꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ, ꯃꯗꯨ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯀꯗꯥꯏꯗꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯊꯣꯛꯀꯗꯕꯅꯤ, ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯃꯗꯨ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯕ ꯉꯝꯂꯣꯏ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯁꯣꯏꯗꯅ ꯊꯥꯖꯔꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯀꯦꯁꯤꯅꯣꯅ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯐꯪꯈꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯃꯗ ꯁꯣꯏꯗꯅ ꯈꯉꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯆꯛꯔꯅ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯌꯣꯟꯗꯕ ꯋꯥꯐꯝ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫

ꯃꯣꯟꯇꯦ ꯀꯥꯔꯂꯣ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ

ꯁꯤꯃꯨꯂꯦꯇꯔ · ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ

$1,000ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯒꯥ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ 2,000꯫

ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ $10 · ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩ $500 · ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100

ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯗꯤꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯕ꯭ꯌꯨꯁꯟꯃꯥꯡꯕ ← | → ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ
−$440$0+$280
ꯕꯥꯔ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ ꯃꯧꯁ ꯊꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ · ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯕꯥꯔꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯁꯤꯡꯅꯤ, ꯑꯁꯪꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ, ꯃꯆꯨ ꯃꯌꯥꯏꯕ ꯕꯥꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ $0 ꯌꯥꯎꯏ
ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯁꯤꯡ
34.5%
ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ ꯃꯍꯩ
−$20
ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯃꯍꯩ
−$30.12
ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ
0.0%
5ꯁꯨꯕ ꯄꯔꯁꯦꯟꯇꯥꯏꯜ
−$200
ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯗ꯭ꯔꯣꯗꯥꯎꯅꯒꯤ ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ
−$120

ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯅꯣ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯅꯣ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯐꯕꯒꯦ?

ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯇ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18꯫

ꯃꯆꯨ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯀꯗ꯭ꯔꯥ?

ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯗꯦ꯫ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡ ꯉꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯗ ꯃꯇꯦꯡ ꯄꯥꯡꯂꯕꯗ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯈꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯇ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕꯗ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗ ꯈꯛꯇ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ꯭ꯔꯥ?

ꯍꯣꯌ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯦ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯃꯇꯃꯒꯤ 2.70% ꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ: ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯨꯝꯅ EV ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯤ −2.70%, ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯅ꯫

ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ

ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯅꯕ: ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ, 2.70% ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ꯫

ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯅꯕ: ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ, 2.70% ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ꯫

ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ

  1. RouletteDoc꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯌꯦꯡꯕ꯫ https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯌꯦꯡꯕ꯫ https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010꯫ ꯆꯦꯞꯇꯔ 13, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ꯫
  4. Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, ꯑꯦꯗꯤꯁꯟ 3, 1968꯫ ꯖꯨꯌꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ (gambler’s ruin), ꯆꯦꯞꯇꯔ XIV꯫
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