ꯋꯥꯍꯩ ꯄꯔꯤꯡ · ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁ
ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ
ꯃꯇꯝ ꯁꯥꯡꯅ ꯌꯦꯡꯂꯕꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯃꯍꯩ꯫ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ −1/37꯫
ꯋꯥꯐꯃꯗ
EV = p·ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ − (1 − p)·ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯀꯤꯁꯦꯜꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯄ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯄ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ “X ꯗꯒꯤ 1” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯍꯥꯌꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯅ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯆꯥꯎꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯥꯡꯍꯜꯂꯤ: ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ −2.70% ꯅꯤ꯫
ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯈꯉꯕꯔꯥ
ꯋꯥꯈꯜꯂꯣꯟ ꯑꯁꯤ 1654 ꯗ ꯄꯥꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯐꯔꯃꯥꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯊꯥꯈꯤꯕ ꯆꯤꯊꯤꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯄꯣꯀꯈꯤ, ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯅ ꯅꯥꯀꯜꯗ ꯂꯦꯞꯊꯈꯤꯕ ꯗꯥꯏꯁ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯌꯦꯟꯊꯣꯛꯀꯗꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯋꯥꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯈꯟꯊꯈꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤꯕꯨ “ꯄꯣꯏꯟꯇꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯃꯁ꯭ꯌꯥ” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯀꯧꯏ꯫