ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ
ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯛꯆꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯑꯁꯣꯏꯕ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯃꯗ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯈꯔꯗ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯣꯀꯍꯜꯂꯤ: ꯂꯣꯠꯂꯕ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ, ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯗꯕ ꯔꯣꯇꯔ ꯑꯃꯥ, ꯁꯣꯛꯂꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯂꯩ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯈꯤꯕꯥ ꯂꯩ꯫ ꯑꯔꯨꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯐꯥꯅ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯅꯁꯨ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯄꯨꯝꯕꯗ “ꯁꯥꯠꯄ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ” ꯄꯨꯊꯣꯀꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯥꯠꯄꯔꯥ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ, ꯄꯦꯇꯔꯟ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯂꯥꯛꯅ ꯌꯥꯍꯟꯕꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯗꯕꯔꯥ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯅꯤ꯫
1. ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯝꯄꯜ ꯂꯧꯕ
ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯕ ꯁꯤꯃꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯧꯔꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯂꯧꯔꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡ꯫ ꯁꯦꯝꯄꯜ ꯁꯥꯏꯖ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯠꯄ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫
2. ꯎꯈꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ
ꯕꯥꯔ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯊꯥꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫ ꯗꯦꯁ ꯂꯥꯏꯟ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ, n/37 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯃꯤꯠ ꯊꯥꯕ ꯕꯦꯟꯗ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟ ±2 ꯅꯤ: ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯂꯥꯛ ꯈꯛꯇꯅ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯀꯨꯟꯗ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯁꯨꯝꯅ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯄꯥꯟꯗ ꯊꯣꯛꯀꯅꯤ꯫
3. ꯀꯥꯏ-ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯦꯁ꯭ꯠ
ꯇꯦꯁ꯭ꯠ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕꯗꯒꯤ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯂꯥꯞꯄꯒꯦ, ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯧꯗꯨꯅ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯜ ꯇꯧꯗꯨꯅ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯗꯤꯒ꯭ꯔꯤ ꯑꯣꯐ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯤꯗꯝ 36 ꯂꯩꯕ ꯀꯥꯏ-ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯗꯤꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯕ꯭ꯌꯨꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯅꯩ; 0.05 ꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ p-ꯚꯦꯜꯌꯨ ꯑꯃꯕꯨ ꯆꯠꯅꯕꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯅꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯤꯒ꯭ꯅꯤꯐꯤꯀꯦꯟꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯀꯧꯏ꯫
n = 370 · E = 10.00 · χ² = 32.80 · p = 0.622
4. ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯒꯅꯤ
ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ 1/37 ꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯥ ꯊꯤꯗꯣꯛꯅꯕ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ, ꯃꯥꯏꯀꯩ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯀꯤ 5% ꯂꯦꯚꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 80% ꯄꯥꯉ꯭ꯒꯂꯗ꯫ 37 ꯗ 1 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯨꯠꯇ 35 ꯗ 1 ꯊꯣꯀꯄ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯃꯄꯥꯉ꯭ꯒꯜ ꯀꯅꯕ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯆꯦꯅꯁꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯏꯒꯠꯂꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯂꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯏ꯫
ꯃꯦꯊꯗꯣꯂꯣꯖꯤ
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ
ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯁꯥꯠꯄ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯁꯦꯃꯏ꯫ ꯕꯥꯏꯌꯥꯁ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯐꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯅꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯂꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯏ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- Pearson, K. (1900). On the criterion that a given system of deviations… Philosophical Magazine, 50(302).
- Thorp, E. O. (1969). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. Review of the International Statistical Institute, 37(3).
- Ethier, S. N. (2010). The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer. Ch. 13, Roulette.