ꯑꯣꯗꯁ
ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯃꯗ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯇꯔꯥ, ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯇꯔꯥꯃꯉꯥꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯜ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ꯫ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯄꯤꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯁ꯭ꯀꯣꯔ ꯐꯪꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯄꯤꯈꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯇꯥꯀꯄꯤꯕ ꯄꯦꯖ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯐꯪꯒꯅꯤ꯫
ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯃꯗ꯭ꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯈꯉꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯆꯥꯡꯌꯦꯡ ꯇꯧꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯌꯥꯎꯅꯍꯜꯂꯕ ꯃꯜꯇꯤꯄꯜ ꯆꯣꯏꯁ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯇꯔꯥ꯫ 8 ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯃꯗꯨꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯐꯪꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯄꯦꯝꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯈꯉꯏ; 5ꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯛꯁꯟꯅ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯐꯕ ꯊꯕꯛꯅꯤ꯫
ꯁ꯭ꯀꯣꯔ
10: ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯋꯦꯕꯁꯥꯏꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯏꯕ ꯉꯝꯒꯅꯤ꯫
8–9: ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯇꯒꯤ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯈꯉꯏ꯫
5–7: ꯐꯕ; ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁ ꯁꯦꯛꯁꯟꯅ ꯑꯀꯥꯏꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯐꯍꯅꯒꯅꯤ꯫
5ꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯂꯕꯗꯤ: ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯒꯗꯒꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗꯒꯤꯁꯦꯜꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯄ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯄ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ “X ꯗꯒꯤ 1” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯍꯥꯌꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯍꯧꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯟꯅꯥ ꯂꯥꯀꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫
ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯑꯔꯥꯟꯕ ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡꯗꯤ “ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37ꯗ ꯌꯥꯝꯗꯕꯗ ꯍꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ” ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ (ꯃꯤꯁꯤꯡꯅ “100%” ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ “50% ꯃꯔꯛ” ꯍꯥꯌꯏ) ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯗꯖꯟꯕꯦꯠꯗꯖꯟ1–12, 13–24 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 25–36, 2:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯑꯗꯨꯅꯤ (ꯃꯤꯁꯤꯡꯅ “ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯒꯤ ꯑꯅꯤ” ꯍꯥꯌꯗꯨꯅ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯀꯥꯑꯣꯊꯣꯀꯏ)꯫
ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯀ꯭ꯕꯤꯖ
ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯄꯦꯖꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯨꯋꯥꯔꯤꯒꯤ ꯀ꯭ꯕꯤꯖꯅ ꯄꯥꯁ꯭ꯀꯦꯜ, ꯕ꯭ꯂꯥꯡ, ꯖꯦꯒꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯇꯥꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯈꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯃꯨꯕꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯅꯣꯌꯥꯔ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 26 ꯌꯥꯎꯏ꯫ ꯃꯗꯨ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯂꯥꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏ, ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯃꯗꯨꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯀꯟꯕꯤꯔꯣꯏ꯫
ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ
ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ 37ꯗ 1ꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ 37 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯁꯣꯏꯗꯅ ꯊꯣꯛꯀꯅꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯏ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ 63.7%ꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37ꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯀꯈꯤꯗꯦ꯫
ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯕꯦꯠꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯀꯣꯟꯅꯥ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯧꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ, 8:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯒꯤ ꯑꯦꯖꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯊꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛ: ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯉꯥꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯛꯇ ꯅꯠꯇꯅ꯫
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ
ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯇꯔꯥꯃꯉꯥ꯫ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯌꯥꯝꯕꯅ 2.70%ꯅꯤ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.