ꯂꯥꯛ ꯐꯕ ꯇꯔꯦꯠ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ

ꯐꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯈꯤꯕ ꯃꯇꯧꯒꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ

ꯂꯥꯛ ꯐꯕ ꯇꯔꯦꯠꯅ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯈꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ 5 ꯊꯝꯃꯤ, ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ 1.5 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯜꯇꯤꯞꯂꯥꯏ ꯇꯧꯏ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ 5 ꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯇꯔꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯂꯧꯏ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕꯅꯤꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯅ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯍꯧꯕꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯔꯤꯚꯔꯁ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯄꯥꯟꯗꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ-ꯇꯔꯦꯇꯀꯤ ꯕ꯭ꯂꯣꯛ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ-ꯇꯔꯦꯇꯀꯤ ꯔꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯍꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯂꯝꯕꯤ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫

ꯆꯨꯝꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯈꯥ

ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯑꯥꯏꯗꯤꯌꯦꯜ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯛꯁꯅꯦꯜ ꯆꯤꯞꯁꯤꯡꯁꯦꯜꯆꯤꯞꯂꯦꯞꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯇꯥꯛꯄ ꯇꯣꯀꯟ, ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯆꯦꯛ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ; ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯔꯥꯎꯟꯗ ꯇꯧꯕ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ, ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯏ꯫

ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯔꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯝ

ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯦꯜꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯇ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 5 ꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅ ꯍꯧꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯁꯦꯜꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯁꯥꯟꯅꯅꯕ ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ꯫ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯊꯃꯒꯗꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯋꯥꯔꯦꯞ ꯂꯧꯕꯅꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 5 ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯂꯛꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯆꯨꯝꯅ 5 ꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅ ꯍꯧꯔꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ 2.5 ꯊꯃꯖꯤꯟꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ 7.5 ꯊꯝꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ꯫ ꯑꯥꯏꯗꯤꯌꯦꯜ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯛꯁꯅꯦꯜ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯆꯥꯎꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯤꯔꯤ; ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯂꯕ ꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯁꯦꯜꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ, ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯁꯨ ꯌꯥꯎꯅ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯍꯦꯟꯗꯜ, ꯑꯦꯛꯁꯟ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯗ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯕ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ 5 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 7.5 ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯍꯨꯝꯁꯨꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯇ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ 11.25 ꯃꯥꯡꯍꯜꯂꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯂꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩ +1.25 ꯊꯃꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ “ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯇꯔꯦꯠ ꯌꯧꯗ꯭ꯔꯕꯗ ꯀꯔꯤꯁꯨ ꯐꯪꯗꯦ” ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯆꯨꯃꯗꯦ꯫

ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕ

ꯂꯦꯞꯂꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ-ꯇꯔꯦꯇꯀꯤ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → (18/37)^7 ≈ 0.006449 ꯅꯤ, ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0.6449%, 0.006449% ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯥꯏꯀꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯍꯜꯂꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯖ ꯌꯨꯝꯐꯝ ꯑꯣꯏꯗꯨꯅ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯂꯕ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯔꯥ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯃꯨꯠꯊꯠꯍꯅꯕ ꯌꯥꯏ꯫ ꯔꯥꯎꯟꯗ ꯇꯧꯕ, ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛꯇꯦꯕꯜꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩꯌꯥꯍꯜꯂꯤꯕ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯉꯝꯈꯩ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯡꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯏ꯫ ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯅꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯃꯃꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯍꯟꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ꯫ ꯅꯦꯒꯦꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯅ 1/37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯊꯃꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫

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