ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ · ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ · ꯑꯦꯝꯄꯦꯌꯔ/ꯄꯦꯌꯔ · ꯃꯤꯅꯤꯠ 7

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ / ꯖꯣꯔ ꯕꯦꯠ

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ ꯕꯦꯠꯅ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯜ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯜ ꯀꯨꯞꯏ꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯀꯔꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫

ꯊꯨꯅ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ

ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ 1:1, ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 48.65%꯫ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯒꯥ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫

ꯀꯨꯞꯄ
18 / 37
ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ
48.65%
ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ
1:1
$1 ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ SD
1.00
ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ · ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18
ꯆꯛꯔꯗ
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326

ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯐꯝ

ꯃꯄꯥꯟꯒꯤ ꯔꯣꯗ, ꯗꯖꯟꯁꯤꯡꯕꯦꯠꯗꯖꯟ1–12, 13–24 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 25–36, 2:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯆꯨꯒꯤ ꯗꯥꯏꯃꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ “ꯖꯣꯔ” ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ “ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ” ꯕꯛꯁꯁꯤꯡ; ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯇꯦꯕꯜ, ꯐꯦꯜꯠ, ꯀ꯭ꯂꯣꯊ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯇ ꯄꯦꯌꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯦꯝꯄꯦꯌꯔ꯫ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯑꯃꯃꯃꯅ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯉꯝꯈꯩ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔꯗ ꯕꯣꯜ ꯂꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯐꯝꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ %
ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ
48.65%
ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ
48.65%
ꯖꯤꯔꯣ
2.70%
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ %
024.3248.65%

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩꯁꯤꯡꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔꯔꯥ ꯖꯣꯔꯔꯥ?

ꯑꯔꯤꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯇ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ ꯖꯣꯔꯅꯤ (ꯑꯅꯤꯅ ꯌꯦꯟꯊꯣꯛꯄ ꯌꯥꯏ), ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯄꯤ꯫ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯅ ꯕꯛꯁ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯗ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯏꯗꯅ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ ꯑꯅꯧꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯈꯔꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯥꯡꯗ ꯌꯦꯛꯅꯕ ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯏ; ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯁꯤꯡꯅꯗꯤ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯇꯥꯕꯥ ꯂꯩꯔꯦ꯫

$10 × ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ48.65%
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ48.6
ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯍꯩ−$27.03
ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟ$100
p(ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯕ)0.000000%
ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯂꯥꯛꯄ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 7
ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯥ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯈꯅꯕꯁꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯆꯦꯟꯊꯕꯒꯅꯤ꯫

ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ

ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯇ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ: ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18, 1 ꯗꯒꯤ 1, 48.65%꯫ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯄꯥꯔ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯀꯔꯝꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯜ ꯀꯨꯞꯄꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯗ ꯈꯛꯇ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯩ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ “ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ” ꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 28 ꯀꯨꯞꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯅꯤꯄꯥꯟ (12, 14, 16, 18, 30, 32, 34, 36) ꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯕꯤꯜꯗꯔꯅ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯊꯦꯡꯅꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯊꯤꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫

ꯕꯦꯠ ꯁꯦꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏ

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯆꯨ

ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯜ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯇꯔꯥ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯅꯤꯄꯥꯟ ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯕꯦꯠꯑꯃꯨꯕꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯅꯣꯌꯥꯔ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →: ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 19, 21, 23, 25 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 27; ꯑꯃꯨꯕ 11, 13, 15, 17, 29, 31, 33 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 35꯫ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯣꯟꯅꯥ ꯈꯥꯌꯅꯩ, ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯅꯤꯄꯥꯟ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯇꯔꯥ꯫ ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 26 ꯀꯨꯞꯏ, ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯇꯔꯥꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤ, ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯥ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔꯅ 28 ꯀꯨꯞꯏ꯫

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔꯒꯤ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ

37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗꯒꯤ 18 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯇ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ 1.056 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯅꯤ; ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯅ 1 ꯈꯛ ꯄꯤ꯫ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37 ꯗ $10 ꯊꯃꯗꯨꯅ, ꯖꯣꯔꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯅ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ 18 ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ (+$180), ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯂꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯐꯪꯏ (−$180) ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯐꯪꯏ (−$10): ꯊꯝꯂꯕ $370 ꯗ −$10, 2.70%꯫ ꯗꯕꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯅꯕ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯃꯜ $380 ꯗ $20, 5.26%꯫

ꯆꯛꯔꯗ

ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯃꯄꯥꯟꯊꯣꯡꯗ ꯌꯥꯎꯅꯥ ꯊꯝꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯀꯔꯝꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯔꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯗꯁꯨ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯄꯤꯗꯦ꯫ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯄꯥꯔ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯁꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ: ꯆꯛꯔ ꯌꯦꯡꯂꯕꯗ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯌꯥꯝꯅꯥ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯂꯥꯛꯏ꯫ ꯃꯄꯥꯟꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯕꯦꯠꯃꯄꯥꯟꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗꯀꯤ ꯃꯄꯥꯟꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯕꯀꯁꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ: ꯗꯖꯟꯁꯤꯡ, ꯀꯂꯝꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯨꯝꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯀꯔꯝꯕ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔꯆꯛꯔꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯔꯛ ꯂꯩꯇꯅ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯅ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ, ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯀꯥꯡꯂꯨꯞ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯅ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯦ꯫

ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯁꯤꯡ

ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯅꯤꯌꯝꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ 1.35% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯂꯩꯔꯕꯗ, ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯂꯥꯀꯄꯥ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯃꯜ 1.35% ꯗ ꯍꯟꯊꯔꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯅꯤꯌꯝꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯅ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯂꯩꯔꯕꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯔꯤ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯌꯥꯎꯗꯅ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗ ꯂꯧꯊꯣꯀꯏ, ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯖꯣꯔꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯕ ꯌꯥꯕ꯭ꯔꯥ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯋꯥꯍꯪ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯂꯥꯛꯇꯦ, ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯅ ꯄꯦꯌꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯦꯝꯄꯦꯌꯔ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯅ ꯂꯧꯏ꯫

ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯂꯥꯀꯄꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ, ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯂꯥꯏꯟꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯤ꯫

ꯊꯕꯛ ꯇꯧꯔꯒ ꯎꯠꯄ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ

ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔꯗ $5 ꯊꯝꯂꯕꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ $500 ꯑꯣꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $500 ÷ 37 = $13.51 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯥꯛꯇ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯂꯥꯛꯄ ꯍꯣꯡꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ $50 ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗꯅꯤ, ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ $5 ꯒꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯕꯦꯠꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ, ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18, 1:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 100 ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯀꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯠ; ꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯂꯥꯞꯄ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 5 × √100 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ $64 ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ $36 ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯣꯏꯏ꯫

ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ

ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯆꯠꯂꯤꯕꯔꯥ?

ꯆꯠꯂꯤ꯫ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯅꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯂꯥꯀꯄꯥ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫

ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯨꯠꯇ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯤ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔꯗ ꯊꯝꯒꯗꯒꯦ?

ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯀꯤ ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ꯫ ꯈꯔꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯇ ꯊꯦꯡꯅꯕ ꯆꯦꯟꯊꯍꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ; ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯏ ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯍꯩ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯇꯦ꯫

ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯀꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ

ꯃꯁꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕꯗ ꯅꯍꯥꯛ ꯃꯁꯥꯃꯛꯅ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯊꯨꯡꯗꯨꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯤ; ꯁꯦꯝ ꯁꯥꯔꯕ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯍꯥꯡꯗꯣꯛꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫

  1. ꯑꯔꯤꯕ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯇꯦꯕꯜ, ꯐꯦꯜꯠ, ꯀ꯭ꯂꯣꯊ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯈꯔꯗ “ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ” ꯄꯨꯟꯅ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯂꯩꯔꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ (1 ꯗꯒꯤ 18) ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯀꯏ, ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛ ꯑꯣꯏꯗꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯏ, ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗꯃꯛ ꯂꯩꯔꯤ꯫ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯆꯪꯈꯤꯕꯒꯦ?

    ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯎꯠꯄ

    ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 2.70%, ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕꯗ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ 5.26%꯫

    ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯔꯣꯇꯔꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯀꯣꯠ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁ꯭ꯂꯣꯠ, ꯀꯞ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ: 2, 4 … 18, ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯥꯄꯟ, ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ: 19, 21 … 35, ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯥꯄꯟ, ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯁꯨ ꯌꯥꯎꯅ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯇꯔꯥ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯏ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯄꯥꯟ, ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ ꯅꯠꯔꯒꯥ ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯖꯣꯔ, ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗꯃꯛ ꯊꯃꯏ꯫

    ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ 37 ꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ 9 ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯀꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 10 ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯏ: −1/37, ꯃꯇꯝ ꯄꯨꯝꯕꯒꯤ 2.70%꯫ ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 18 ꯗ ꯀꯔꯤꯁꯨ ꯊꯣꯛꯇꯦ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯍꯜꯂꯤꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯈꯛ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗꯤ, ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ 19 ꯗ 1 ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯦꯜꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯇ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯃꯥꯡꯏ, 5.26%, ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯃꯃꯜ꯫

    ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ, 00 ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯌꯥꯎꯔꯕꯗ, ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 5.26% ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ 10% ꯆꯪꯏ꯫ Bollman (2024) ꯅ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯑꯉꯛꯄ ꯄꯣꯠ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯄꯤꯔꯤ꯫

ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ

ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯖꯣꯔꯅꯤ꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯅ ꯖꯣꯔꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯄꯤ꯫

ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯖꯣꯔꯅꯤ꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯅ ꯖꯣꯔꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯄꯤ꯫

ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010꯫ ꯆꯦꯞꯇꯔ 13, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ꯫
ꯌꯦꯡꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ 2026-09-28ꯃꯣꯗꯦꯜ: ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ, ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯃꯦꯊꯗꯣꯂꯣꯖꯤ ↗ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ ↗