ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯝꯕ · ꯅꯤꯌꯝ · ꯃꯤꯅꯤꯠ 6

ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ

“ꯌꯦꯟꯅꯕ”: ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯗ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯅꯕꯦꯠꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ, ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18, 1:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯈꯛꯇꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯡꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯊꯨꯅ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ

ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯂꯩꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕꯗ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯀꯦꯁꯤꯅꯣꯅ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯗ ꯊꯃꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ: ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ 2.70%ꯗꯒꯤ 1.35% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯔꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯦ꯫

ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯐꯝ
ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ
ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯗ
ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯏ
ꯑꯦꯖ
1.35%
$10, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ
−$13.51

ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯀꯔꯝꯅ ꯊꯕꯛ ꯇꯧꯕꯒꯦ

ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $10 ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯏ꯫ ꯕꯣꯜꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯕꯣꯜꯔꯣꯇꯔꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯇ ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯛꯇ ꯊꯥꯗꯣꯛꯄ ꯑꯄꯤꯛꯄ ꯕꯣꯜ꯫ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯕꯣꯜꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯥꯏꯚꯣꯔꯤꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯇꯦꯐ꯭ꯂꯣꯅꯅ ꯁꯦꯝꯃꯤ, 18–21 mm꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯇꯥꯏ꯫ ꯆꯤꯞꯁꯦꯜꯆꯤꯞꯂꯦꯞꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯇꯥꯛꯄ ꯇꯣꯀꯟ, ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯆꯦꯛ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯂꯧꯊꯣꯛꯀꯗꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯨꯠꯇ ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯅ $5 ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯏ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ $5 ꯂꯧꯏ꯫ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯦ: ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯅ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ 1:1 ꯄꯤꯔꯤ, ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯃꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯅ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ 35:1 ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯀꯏ, ꯗꯖꯟꯁꯤꯡꯕꯦꯠꯗꯖꯟ1–12, 13–24 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 25–36, 2:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯂꯝꯁꯤꯡꯕꯦꯠꯀꯂꯝꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯀꯤ ꯊꯣꯡꯅꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯊꯣꯏ, 2:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯐꯥꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯤ꯫ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯀꯁ ꯇꯔꯨꯛ ꯈꯛꯇꯗ, ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗ ꯈꯛꯇꯗ ꯁꯣꯀꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫

ꯍꯤꯁꯥꯕ

ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯌꯥꯎꯗꯕ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯦꯜꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯔꯨꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠꯇ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ EV: (18/37)(+1) + (19/37)(−1) = −1/37 ≈ −2.70%꯫ ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯅꯤꯌꯝꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ 1.35% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯌꯥꯎꯔꯕꯗꯤ: (18/37)(+1) + (18/37)(−1) + (1/37)(−½) = −1/74 ≈ −1.35%꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕꯒꯤ ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯏ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯁꯤꯅ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯔꯦ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯊꯕꯛ ꯇꯧꯕ ꯃꯍꯧꯁꯥꯒꯤ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯊꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯂꯛꯂꯤ꯫

ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ, $10 × ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100$
ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ, ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ
$13.51
ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ
$27.03
ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ
$52.63
$
026.32$52.63

ꯀꯗꯥꯏꯗ ꯐꯪꯒꯅꯤ

ꯐ꯭ꯔꯥꯟꯁ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯣꯅꯥꯀꯣꯒꯤ ꯀꯦꯁꯤꯅꯣꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗꯅꯤ, ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯀꯤ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯏ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ “ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯃꯈꯜꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯆꯛꯔ, ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ 1.35% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ ꯊꯣꯅꯕ ꯂꯥꯏꯕ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯀꯌꯥꯗ ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯣꯟꯂꯥꯏꯟ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯐꯪꯏ꯫ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯒꯤ ꯄꯦꯅꯦꯜ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ: ꯃꯃꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯈꯔꯗ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯂꯣꯟꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯥꯐꯤꯛꯁ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯂꯩꯇꯕ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ꯫ ꯌꯨ.ꯑꯦꯁ.ꯀꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩ ꯋꯥꯡꯕ ꯀꯣꯊꯥꯡ ꯈꯔꯅ ꯗꯕꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ “ꯁꯔꯦꯟꯗꯔ” ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯄꯤꯔꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯅꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯑꯦꯖ 5.26%ꯗꯒꯤ 2.63% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫

ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯑꯦꯖꯖꯤꯔꯣꯗ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯒꯦ
ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ, ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ1.35%ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯏ
ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ, ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡ≈ 1.35–1.39%ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯝꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ
ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ, ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ2.70%ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯃꯥꯡꯏ
ꯁꯔꯦꯟꯗꯔ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ2.63%ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯏ
ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ, ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ5.26%ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯃꯥꯡꯏ

ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ

ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯕꯒꯦ

ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯃꯃꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯍꯟꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ꯫ ꯅꯦꯒꯦꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ (ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯕꯒꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯇꯧꯗꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯛꯁꯅꯗ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, ꯗꯥꯂꯥꯝꯕꯦꯌꯔ, ꯂꯥꯕꯨꯁꯦꯌꯔꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯂꯥꯕꯨꯁꯦꯌꯔꯀꯛꯊꯠꯄꯒꯤ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ: ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯂꯥꯏꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯏꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯊꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯀꯛꯊꯠꯄꯤꯌꯨ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯗꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯥꯄꯆꯤꯟꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, ꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄꯥꯔꯣꯂꯤꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯊꯥꯛ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯅꯅ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯍꯧꯕꯗ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯔꯤꯚꯔꯁ ꯃꯥꯔꯇꯤꯟꯒꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →) ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕꯒꯤꯕꯦꯠꯑꯃꯨꯕꯑꯃꯨꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯅꯣꯌꯥꯔ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯃꯊꯛꯇ ꯁꯥꯕꯅꯤ꯫ ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯇ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯌꯨꯅꯤꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ ꯇꯪꯈꯥꯏ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯛꯇꯦ; ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯅꯦꯒꯦꯇꯤꯕ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯂꯩꯔꯤ꯫ ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯄꯥꯝꯂꯕꯗꯤ, ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯒꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯅ ꯁꯤꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯝ ꯈꯅꯕꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯃꯍꯩ ꯍꯣꯡꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫

ꯗꯥꯂꯥꯝꯕꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯂꯥꯕꯨꯁꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ

ꯐꯣꯔꯃꯨꯂꯥ

EV = (18/37)(+1) + (18/37)(−1) + (1/37)(−½) = −1/74

ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ

ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯗꯖꯟꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕꯔꯥ?

ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯗꯦ꯫ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯇꯔꯨꯛꯇ ꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫

ꯃꯁꯤ ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯒꯥ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕꯔꯥ?

ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯅꯛꯏ꯫ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯅ 1.35%ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯥꯛꯇ ꯄꯤꯏ꯫ ꯂꯥ ꯄꯥꯔꯇꯥꯖꯅ ꯈꯨꯗꯛꯇ ꯂꯣꯏꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ; ꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯅꯅꯤꯌꯝꯑꯣꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯤꯖꯣꯡꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ: ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯛꯂꯕꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯥꯡꯗꯅ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤꯗ ꯊꯥꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯅꯤꯁꯨꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯄꯤꯔꯤ꯫

ꯃꯈꯣꯌ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯑꯩꯅ ꯈꯅꯕ ꯌꯥꯕꯔꯥ?

ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯈꯟꯅꯥ꯫ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯅ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ꯫ ꯃꯣꯟꯇꯦ ꯀꯥꯔꯂꯣꯒꯤ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ ꯈꯔꯅ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯗ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯕꯨ ꯈꯅꯕ ꯌꯥꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫

ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ

1.35%꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯐꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ, ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫

1.35%꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯐꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ, ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫

ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010꯫ ꯆꯦꯞꯇꯔ 13, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ꯫
  2. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
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