ꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯁꯤꯡ · ꯀꯦꯜꯀꯨꯂꯦꯇꯔ

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ ꯀꯦꯜꯀꯨꯂꯦꯇꯔ

ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ ꯀꯦꯜꯀꯨꯂꯦꯇꯔ: ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯌꯥꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫

ꯕꯦꯠ
ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ
1/37 · 2.70%
ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯕꯒꯤ ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ
36.00 : 1
ꯀꯦꯁꯤꯅꯣꯅ ꯄꯤꯕ
35 : 1
$1 ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ EV
−$0.027
p(ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37 ꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯕ)
36.3%
p(ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37 ꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ≥1)
63.7%
ꯃꯍꯩ ꯄꯥꯕ

ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯅ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ 1 ꯌꯥꯎꯏ꯫ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ 36.00:1 ꯑꯣꯏꯒꯗꯕꯅꯤ; ꯀꯦꯁꯤꯅꯣꯅ 35:1 ꯄꯤꯔꯤ꯫ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ 2.70% ꯒꯤ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯅꯤ, ꯄꯔꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯇ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫

ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯌꯨꯝꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯆꯛꯔ, ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ 37, ꯃꯔꯤ ꯂꯩꯅꯗꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡ꯫ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯀꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ 36/n − 1꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯀꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ (1 − p)ᵏ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ꯫