ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ · ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ · ꯁꯦꯚꯥꯜ · ꯃꯤꯅꯤꯠ 7

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯕꯦꯠ

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯀꯤ ꯂꯥꯏꯟꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫

ꯊꯨꯅ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ

ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ, ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ 17:1꯫ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕꯃꯍꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ, 0 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 0% ꯗꯒꯤ 100% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ: 1/37 = 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 5.41%, ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯀꯦꯁꯤꯅꯣꯅ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖꯗ ꯊꯃꯖꯤꯜꯂꯤꯕ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ: ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ 2.70%꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 2.70%꯫

ꯀꯨꯞꯄ
2 / 37
ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ
5.41%
ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ
17:1
$1 ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ SD
4.09
ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ · ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 2
ꯆꯛꯔꯗ
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯀꯔꯤꯅꯣ?

ꯆꯤꯞꯁꯦꯜꯆꯤꯞꯂꯦꯞꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯇꯥꯛꯄ ꯇꯣꯀꯟ, ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯆꯦꯛ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨ ꯕꯛꯁ ꯑꯅꯤꯅ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯌꯥꯅꯕ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯑꯄꯥꯛ ꯂꯝꯕꯤꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯁꯤꯡꯅꯕꯦꯠꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ, 17:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯔꯣ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ (17-18); ꯃꯊꯛ-ꯃꯈꯥꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯀꯂꯝꯕꯦꯠꯀꯂꯝꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯀꯤ ꯊꯣꯡꯅꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯊꯣꯏ, 2:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯜꯂꯤ (17-20)꯫ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯅꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯃꯈꯥꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ 1, 2 ꯅꯠꯔꯒ 3 ꯒ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯁꯦꯝꯃꯤ꯫ 3×12 ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗꯇ ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ 57 ꯂꯩ, ꯃꯗꯨꯗ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯕ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯍꯥꯄꯆꯤꯟꯂꯕꯗ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ 60 ꯑꯣꯏ꯫ ꯃꯊꯛ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯅꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯕꯦꯠꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯀꯣꯟꯅꯥ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯁꯦꯌꯔ ꯇꯧꯅꯔꯤꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯃꯔꯤ, 8:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁꯥꯝꯕ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯀꯣꯔꯅꯔ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯤ, ꯃꯔꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯥꯏꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯌꯥꯏꯗ ꯊꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫

ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯇ ꯕꯣꯜ ꯂꯥꯛꯄ ꯃꯐꯝꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ %
ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ
5.41%
ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ
91.89%
ꯖꯤꯔꯣ
2.70%
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ %
045.9591.89%

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠꯇ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯅ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯄꯤꯕꯒꯦ?

ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯇ ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ 17.5 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯅꯤ; ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯅ 17 ꯈꯛ ꯄꯤ꯫ $10 ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ $170 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯏ꯫ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 37 ꯗ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯏ (+$340) ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯨꯛ 35 ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯐꯪꯏ (−$350); $370 ꯊꯝꯂꯕꯗ ꯅꯦꯠ −$10: 2.70%꯫

$10 × ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯊꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ5.41%
ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ5.4
ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯍꯩ−$27.03
ꯁ꯭ꯇꯦꯟꯗꯔꯗ ꯗꯤꯚꯤꯌꯦꯁꯟ$407
p(ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯕ)0.39%
ꯃꯇꯧ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯂꯥꯛꯄ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯤꯛꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 83
ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯥ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯩ꯫ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯈꯅꯕꯁꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯆꯦꯟꯊꯕꯒꯅꯤ꯫

ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯃꯇꯧ

ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯒꯁꯨ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯕꯦꯠꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ, 35:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯒꯤ ꯑꯀꯣꯌꯕꯗ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯅ ꯂꯩꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯡ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯇ ꯋꯥꯡꯏ, ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯅꯦꯝꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯦꯟꯕ ꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯒꯥ ꯑꯃꯒꯥ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 36 ꯌꯥꯎꯗꯅ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯐꯤꯜ ꯄꯥꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯃꯍꯧꯁꯥꯅ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯈꯅꯕꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯇꯤꯌꯦꯌꯔ ꯗꯨ ꯁꯤꯂꯦꯟꯗ꯭ꯔꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ · ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔꯇꯤꯌꯦꯌꯔ ꯗꯨ ꯁꯤꯂꯦꯟꯗ꯭ꯔ“ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯃꯒꯤ ꯑꯃꯥ”: ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯊꯣꯏ, ꯆꯛꯔꯗ 27 ꯗꯒꯤ 33 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ, ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯇꯔꯨꯛꯅ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯀꯣꯜ ꯕꯦꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯀꯣꯜ ꯕꯦꯠꯈꯨꯠꯅ ꯊꯝꯗꯅ ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯗ ꯂꯥꯑꯣꯊꯣꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ, ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯚꯣꯌꯥꯖꯦꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯇꯤꯌꯦꯌꯔꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: “ꯂꯥꯑꯣꯊꯣꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ”꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯀꯤ ꯌꯨꯝꯐꯃꯁꯨ ꯑꯣꯏ; ꯃꯗꯨ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯊꯣꯀꯄꯒꯤ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯔꯣꯇꯔꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯀꯣꯠ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁ꯭ꯂꯣꯠ, ꯀꯞ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯇꯔꯥꯅꯤꯊꯣꯏ ꯀꯨꯞꯄ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯇꯔꯨꯛꯅꯤ꯫

ꯀꯣꯜ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ

ꯆꯛꯔꯗ

ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯇꯦꯕꯜ, ꯐꯦꯜꯠ, ꯀ꯭ꯂꯣꯊ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯇ ꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕꯁꯤꯡꯕꯦꯠꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯅꯥꯀꯜ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯑꯅꯤ, ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯃꯉꯥ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕꯁꯤꯡ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫ 17-18 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯌꯣꯛ ꯅꯥꯏꯅꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯀꯩꯗ ꯂꯩ (17 ꯑꯁꯤ 25 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 34 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ; 18 ꯑꯁꯤ 22 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 29 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ)꯫ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯁꯥꯝꯅꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯀꯨꯞꯄ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯇꯦ; ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯅꯛꯄꯗꯤ 0-3 ꯅꯤ, ꯃꯈꯣꯌꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ 26 ꯂꯩꯔꯒ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯂꯥꯞꯅꯕꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ ꯂꯩ: 0 ꯑꯁꯤ 28 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 2 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ 0-2 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯀꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫

ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯆꯛꯔ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯅꯤꯌꯝꯁꯤꯡ

ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆꯇ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ

ꯑꯥ ꯁꯦꯚꯥꯜꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ · ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯁꯦꯚꯥꯜꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯀꯤ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯀꯤ ꯂꯥꯏꯅꯗ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯃꯥ, 17:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →, “ꯁꯒꯣꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ”: ꯁꯒꯣꯜ ꯇꯧꯔꯤꯕ ꯃꯤꯑꯣꯏ ꯑꯃꯒꯨꯝꯅ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯥꯏꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ ꯐꯝꯃꯤ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯁꯤꯡꯅ “ꯁꯦꯚꯥꯜ ꯗꯨꯖ-ꯀꯦꯟꯖ” ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯀꯣꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯌꯥꯕꯤꯗꯨꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯊꯝꯕꯤ꯫ ꯔꯦꯁꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯛꯇꯦꯕꯜꯔꯦꯁꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯛꯂꯥꯏꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯏꯂꯦꯛꯠꯔꯣꯅꯤꯛ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯪ ꯃꯇꯨꯡ ꯏꯟꯅ ꯎꯠꯄ ꯑꯣꯚꯦꯜ ꯃꯑꯣꯡꯒꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ, ꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁꯦꯛꯇꯔ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯇꯦꯞ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇꯅ ꯊꯝꯅꯕ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯩ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ →ꯇ, ꯇꯤꯌꯦꯌꯔ ꯕꯇꯟꯅ ꯁꯦꯚꯥꯜ ꯇꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯃꯨꯛꯇ ꯊꯝꯃꯤ꯫

ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯇꯦꯕꯜ

ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ

ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 00 ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯇꯧꯕ ꯌꯥꯕ꯭ꯔꯥ?

ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ; ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ 17 ꯗꯒꯤ 1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ ꯄꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯐꯝ ꯑꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯑꯇꯩ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯀꯥ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯅ 5.26% ꯑꯦꯖ ꯂꯩ꯫

ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞ ꯑꯅꯤꯗꯒꯤ ꯍꯦꯟꯅ ꯐꯕ꯭ꯔꯥ?

ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛꯇ $10 ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ $5 ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ: ꯀꯨꯞꯄ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ, ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯁꯦꯜꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯍꯜꯂꯛꯄ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯍꯜꯂꯀꯄ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯛꯇ “X ꯗꯒꯤ 1” ꯍꯥꯌꯅ ꯍꯥꯌꯏ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ, ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁ ꯑꯗꯨꯃꯛ꯫

SD ꯑꯁꯤ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯤ 4.09 ꯑꯣꯏꯕꯒꯦ?

√(p·17² + (1−p) − EV²), p = 2/37 ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯒ꯫ ꯚꯦꯌꯔꯤꯌꯦꯟꯁꯀꯤ ꯂꯃꯥꯏ ꯌꯦꯡꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫

ꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯀꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ

ꯃꯁꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕꯗ ꯅꯍꯥꯛ ꯃꯁꯥꯃꯛꯅ ꯍꯣꯠꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯊꯨꯡꯗꯨꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯤ; ꯁꯦꯝ ꯁꯥꯔꯕ ꯃꯇꯃꯗ ꯍꯥꯡꯗꯣꯛꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫

  1. ꯀꯅꯥꯒꯤ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ, ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ, ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯕꯦꯠꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯅꯤ, 17:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯅ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯅꯥꯛ ꯃꯅꯥꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠꯔꯣꯇꯔꯗ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯀꯣꯠ 37 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁ꯭ꯂꯣꯠ, ꯀꯞ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯅꯤ ꯀꯨꯞꯄꯒꯦ?

    ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯎꯠꯄ

    ꯄꯥꯎꯈꯨꯝ ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯈꯛꯇ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯈꯛ: 0-2꯫

    ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯛꯔꯖꯤꯔꯣꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ, ꯗꯖꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯀꯂꯝ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯀꯨꯞꯇꯕ ꯑꯁꯪꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ; ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖꯀꯤ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯐꯝꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ, 0꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ 32 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 26 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ ꯏꯔꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕꯒꯤ ꯒ꯭ꯔꯤꯗ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯇꯦꯕꯜ, ꯐꯦꯜꯠ, ꯀ꯭ꯂꯣꯊ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯗꯨꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯁꯤꯡ 0-1, 0-2 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 0-3 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ 57 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗꯒꯤ ꯑꯃꯠꯇꯅ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕꯕꯦꯠꯌꯨꯝꯂꯣꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯅꯥꯀꯜ ꯑꯅꯤꯃꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ ꯑꯅꯤ ꯑꯅꯤ, ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞ ꯆꯤꯞ ꯃꯉꯥ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯅꯤ ꯄꯨꯟꯁꯤꯟꯗꯦ: ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ ꯃꯊꯥꯛ ꯃꯈꯥ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯅꯛꯅ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡꯁꯤꯡ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯁꯦꯃꯈꯤꯕꯅꯤ꯫

    ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯖꯤꯔꯣ ꯑꯁꯤ 28 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 2 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 0-2 ꯑꯁꯤ ꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯂꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠꯇ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠ ꯑꯃꯅꯤ꯫ ꯗꯕꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯃꯈꯜꯗꯕꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯑꯃꯦꯔꯤꯀꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤ 00 ꯄꯣꯀꯦꯠ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤ ꯂꯩꯕꯅ ꯍꯥꯎꯁ ꯑꯦꯖ 2.70% ꯗꯒꯤ 5.26% ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯁꯤ 1 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 27 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩ, ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯞꯂꯤꯠꯁꯤꯡ 00-2, 00-3 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 0-00 ꯅꯤ꯫

ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ

ꯂꯥꯏꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯌꯥꯏꯗ꯫ ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯅ ꯂꯧꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯂꯥꯏꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯌꯥꯏꯗ꯫ ꯗꯤꯂꯔꯅ ꯂꯧꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯑꯔꯣꯏꯕꯅꯤ꯫

ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010꯫ ꯆꯦꯞꯇꯔ 13, ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ꯫
ꯌꯦꯡꯁꯤꯅꯈꯤꯕ 2026-09-28ꯃꯣꯗꯦꯜ: ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ, ꯁꯤꯡꯒꯜ ꯖꯤꯔꯣꯃꯦꯊꯗꯣꯂꯣꯖꯤ ↗ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ ↗