ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯠ
ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯕꯖꯦꯠ, ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯒꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯂꯦꯄꯄꯅꯤ꯫
ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯇꯅ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯗꯦ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯁꯥꯡꯅ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯒꯅꯤ, ꯀꯌꯥ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯌꯥꯒꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯋꯥꯔꯦꯞ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯧꯖꯤꯀꯁꯨ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯀꯤ ꯈꯨꯠꯇ ꯂꯩꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ ꯂꯦꯞꯀꯅꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯀꯟꯠꯔꯣꯜ ꯇꯧꯏ꯫
ꯐꯝꯗꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ
ꯕꯖꯦꯠ: ꯃꯥꯡꯂꯕꯁꯨ ꯍꯌꯦꯡꯒꯤ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯠꯇ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯂꯣꯏꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ: ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯄꯥꯝꯕ ꯁꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯣꯏꯍꯅꯕ ꯕꯖꯦꯠꯀꯤ ꯁꯔꯨꯛ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯂꯦꯞꯄ: ꯅꯍꯥꯛ ꯆꯠꯀꯗꯕ ꯃꯥꯡꯈꯤꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ, ꯄꯥꯝꯂꯕꯗ, ꯅꯍꯥꯛ ꯆꯠꯀꯗꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯄ ꯑꯃꯥ꯫ ꯏꯔꯝ ꯊꯝꯂꯕꯗ, ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯍꯨꯝ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯁꯦꯜꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜꯁꯥꯟꯅꯅꯕ ꯇꯣꯉꯥꯟꯅ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ꯫ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯠ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯁꯤ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯀꯌꯥ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕꯗ ꯊꯃꯒꯗꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯋꯥꯔꯦꯞ ꯂꯧꯕꯅꯤ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯃꯦꯅꯦꯖꯃꯦꯟꯇꯀꯤ ꯃꯔꯨ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯔꯃꯗ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯋꯥꯐꯝ ꯐꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯄ ꯈꯛꯇꯅꯤ꯫
ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯡ ꯂꯦꯞꯄ
ꯕꯖꯦꯠ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯅ ꯈꯥꯌꯔꯕꯗ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯂꯧꯁꯤꯅꯕ ꯉꯝꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯐꯪꯏ꯫ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗꯕꯦꯠꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯃꯨꯕ, ꯕꯤꯖꯣꯔ/ꯖꯣꯔ, ꯑꯋꯥꯡꯕ/ꯑꯅꯦꯝꯕ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18, 1:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $5 ꯒꯥ ꯂꯣꯌꯅꯅ $500 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯖꯦꯠ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ 100 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯌꯥꯝꯅꯥ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯂꯣꯏꯗꯦ; $25 ꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 20 ꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯂꯣꯏꯕ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯏ꯫ ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ ꯄꯥꯝꯕ ꯌꯥꯡꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯄꯄꯤꯌꯨ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯗꯨꯗꯒꯤ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯡ ꯂꯦꯄꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯁꯤꯖꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯑꯃꯗꯤ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯗ ꯕꯖꯦꯠꯀꯤ 1–2% ꯅꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯁꯤꯡ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯂꯤꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯗꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯄꯤ꯫
ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯜ
ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯃꯦꯊꯃꯦꯇꯤꯛꯁꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯃꯂꯕꯨ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛꯅ ꯃꯅꯥꯡꯕ; ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯃꯥꯡꯕ ꯑꯦꯚꯔꯦꯖ ꯁꯦꯜ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ≈ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ × ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ / 37꯫ $10 ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 50 ꯗ, ꯃꯁꯤ ꯌꯨꯔꯣꯄꯤꯌꯟ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯑꯃꯗ $13.50, ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ ꯆꯛꯔꯗ $6.75, ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯗ ꯇꯦꯕꯜꯗ $27 ꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯕꯨ ꯅꯨꯡꯉꯥꯏꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯣꯏꯅ ꯂꯧꯕꯤꯌꯨ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯗꯨꯅ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯀꯔꯤ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯌꯥꯕꯒꯦ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯒꯥ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯅ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯑꯣꯏꯗꯕ ꯃꯑꯣꯡꯗ ꯑꯆꯨꯝꯕꯅꯤ: ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕ ꯅꯨꯃꯤꯗꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯅꯦꯝꯈꯤ ꯍꯥꯌꯕ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫
ꯗ꯭ꯔꯣꯗꯥꯎꯟ
ꯆꯨꯝꯃꯤꯟꯅꯕ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯗꯁꯨ, ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯅ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯇꯃꯒꯤ ꯌꯥꯝꯅꯥ ꯍꯧꯔꯀꯄꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯂꯦꯟꯁꯀꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯂꯩꯒꯅꯤ꯫ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯂꯝꯕꯤ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯒꯤꯁꯦꯜꯇꯔꯅꯑꯣꯚꯔꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯅꯨꯡꯗ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ, ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅꯥ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯇꯨꯅ ꯐꯪꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯁꯨ ꯌꯥꯎꯅ꯫ ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯃꯃꯤꯡ: ꯍꯦꯟꯗꯜ, ꯑꯦꯛꯁꯟ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → 2.70% ꯗ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯆꯦꯟꯊꯔꯛꯂꯤ; ꯑꯁꯦꯡꯕ ꯂꯝꯕꯤ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯀꯥꯏꯕꯗ ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯣꯛ-ꯂꯥꯟꯊꯨꯅ ꯆꯠꯂꯤ, ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯁꯟꯗꯣꯀꯄ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯀ꯭ꯋꯦꯌꯔ ꯔꯨꯠꯀꯨꯝꯅ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯂꯤ꯫ ꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯗꯕꯦꯠꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕꯑꯉꯥꯡꯕ ꯃꯁꯤꯡ 18 ꯗ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐ꯭ꯔꯦꯟꯆ: ꯔꯨꯖ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → $10 ꯒꯤ ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯅ, ꯃꯇꯝ ꯌꯥꯝꯅ ꯊꯣꯀꯄ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯒꯤ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯗ, ꯃꯇꯝ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯗ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ $80 ꯗꯒꯤ $120 ꯐꯥꯑꯣꯕ ꯇꯥꯕ ꯎꯒꯅꯤ꯫ ꯃꯗꯨ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ ꯈꯉꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯂꯥꯡꯇꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯈꯦꯠꯅꯕꯅꯤ꯫
- p10 −$440
- p25 −$280
- ꯃꯤꯗꯤꯌꯥꯟ −$140
- p75 +$20
- p90 +$160
ꯊꯧꯗꯥꯡ ꯂꯧꯗꯨꯅ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕ
ꯑꯣꯄꯔꯦꯇꯔꯅ ꯄꯤꯔꯕꯗ ꯗꯤꯄꯣꯖꯤꯠ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯁꯦꯁꯟꯒꯤ ꯉꯝꯈꯩ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯊꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ; ꯂꯥꯏꯁꯦꯟꯁ ꯂꯩꯕ ꯁꯥꯏꯠ ꯌꯥꯝꯅꯥꯅ ꯄꯤ꯫ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯛꯇ ꯕꯖꯦꯠ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯟꯒꯅꯨ: ꯅꯍꯥꯛꯅ “ꯑꯃꯨꯛ ꯍꯟꯅꯥ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯀꯗꯕ” ꯁꯦꯜ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯃꯥꯡꯂꯦ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯊꯪꯒꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯅ ꯃꯗꯨꯒꯤ ꯃꯔꯃꯗ ꯈꯉꯗꯦ꯫ ꯂꯦꯞꯄ ꯑꯔꯨꯕ ꯑꯣꯏꯔꯕꯗ, ꯃꯗꯨꯅꯤ ꯂꯦꯞꯀꯗꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯣꯟꯖꯦꯜ꯫ ꯍꯦꯜꯞꯂꯥꯏꯅꯁꯤꯡ ꯊꯧꯗꯥꯡ ꯂꯧꯗꯨꯅ ꯖꯨꯌꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯂꯃꯥꯏꯗ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯁꯥꯏꯠ ꯑꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯂꯃꯥꯏ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛꯀꯤ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯂꯩꯔꯤ꯫
- ꯂꯣꯒ ꯏꯟ ꯇꯧꯗ꯭ꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ ꯅꯠꯔꯒ ꯐꯝꯗ꯭ꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ ꯕꯖꯦꯠ ꯂꯦꯄꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫
- ꯑꯇꯣꯞꯄ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ ꯑꯃꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯃꯊꯧ ꯇꯥꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯅ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯒꯅꯨ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯄꯨꯔꯛꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯅ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯒꯅꯨ꯫
- ꯊꯋꯥꯌ ꯊꯥꯗꯣꯛꯅꯕ ꯂꯦꯞꯄꯤꯌꯨ꯫ ꯌꯥꯡꯅꯕ ꯑꯁꯤ ꯄꯨꯡ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯗ ꯈ꯭ꯕꯥꯏꯗꯒꯤ ꯆꯥꯎꯕ ꯃꯇꯦꯡꯅꯤ꯫
- ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯍꯩꯅꯤ, ꯃꯈꯥ ꯆꯠꯊꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯣꯟꯖꯦꯜ ꯅꯠꯇꯦ꯫
ꯋꯥꯍꯪꯁꯤꯡ
ꯐꯒꯠꯍꯟꯗꯦ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯅ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯃꯇꯝ ꯀꯟꯠꯔꯣꯜ ꯇꯧꯏ꯫ ꯑꯣꯗꯁ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯆꯛꯔꯒꯤꯅꯤ꯫
ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯕꯖꯦꯠ ÷ 100 ꯅ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ 100 ꯗ ꯌꯥꯝꯅꯥ ꯀꯩꯗꯧꯉꯩꯗꯁꯨ ꯂꯣꯏꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯁꯟ ꯑꯃꯥ ꯄꯤ꯫ ꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯕꯦꯠꯁ꯭ꯇ꯭ꯔꯦꯠ-ꯑꯞꯃꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯈꯛꯇ, 35:1 ꯄꯦꯑꯥꯎꯠ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯒꯤꯗꯃꯛ ꯕꯖꯦꯠ ÷ 300꯫
ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯛꯄꯒꯤ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯈꯨꯗꯤꯡꯃꯛ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯟꯃꯃꯥꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯃꯈꯥꯗ ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯍꯟꯕ ꯅꯤꯌꯝ ꯀꯔꯤꯒꯨꯝꯕ꯫ ꯅꯦꯒꯦꯇꯤꯕ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯊꯤꯔꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯄꯣꯖꯤꯇꯤꯕꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯏꯄꯥꯛꯂꯕꯥ ꯃꯇꯨꯡꯗ꯫ꯃꯄꯨꯡ ꯄꯥꯕꯤꯌꯨ → ꯑꯃꯅꯤ, ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯄ꯭ꯔꯣꯒ꯭ꯔꯦꯁꯅꯁꯤꯡꯅ ꯃꯥꯡꯒꯗꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ ꯍꯣꯡꯗꯣꯀꯗꯦ꯫ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯅ ꯍꯥꯌꯕꯒꯨꯝꯅ ꯊꯝꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫
ꯅꯣꯛꯅꯕꯒꯤ ꯀꯃꯤꯛ
ꯕꯖꯦꯠ, ꯊꯝꯂꯕ ꯁꯦꯜ, ꯂꯦꯞꯄ꯫ ꯑꯍꯥꯅꯕ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯥꯡꯗ, ꯏꯔꯝ ꯊꯝꯂꯒ꯫
ꯍꯧꯔꯛꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
- RouletteDoc꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯌꯦꯡꯕ꯫
- Roulette77꯫ ꯔꯨꯂꯦꯠ ꯊꯧꯔꯥꯡꯁꯤꯡꯒꯤ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯌꯦꯡꯕ꯫
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1.