ꯈꯨꯠꯂꯥꯏꯁꯤꯡ · ꯀꯦꯜꯀꯨꯂꯦꯇꯔ
ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯥꯡꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯊꯤꯕ ꯀꯦꯜꯀꯨꯂꯦꯇꯔ
ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯕꯦꯠꯇ ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯇꯤꯡ ꯇꯧꯔꯒ, ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯥꯡꯗ꯭ꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ ꯀꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯁꯦꯜꯒꯤ ꯄꯥꯟꯗꯝꯗ ꯌꯧꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ꯫
ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ
ꯕꯦꯠ
ꯄꯥꯟꯗꯝ
ꯃꯍꯩ ꯄꯥꯕ
ꯑꯃꯨꯛꯇ $10 ꯕꯦꯠ ꯊꯝꯂꯒꯥ, ꯁꯦꯜ ꯄꯨꯝꯅꯃꯛ ꯃꯥꯡꯗ꯭ꯔꯤꯉꯩꯗ $500 ꯑꯁꯤ $750 ꯑꯣꯏꯍꯟꯕꯒꯤ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ 24.6% ꯂꯩ꯫ ꯕꯦꯠ ꯆꯥꯎꯕꯅ ꯈꯨꯗꯣꯡꯆꯥꯕ ꯑꯗꯨ ꯍꯦꯅꯒꯠꯍꯜꯂꯤ, ꯃꯔꯃꯗꯤ ꯁ꯭ꯄꯤꯟ ꯍꯟꯊꯕꯅ 2.70% ꯒꯤ ꯃꯃꯜ ꯁꯤꯟꯕ ꯍꯟꯊꯍꯜꯂꯤ; ꯑꯗꯨꯕꯨ ꯃꯍꯩꯁꯤꯡꯁꯨ ꯍꯦꯟꯅꯥ ꯍꯣꯡꯂꯛꯂꯤ꯫ ꯃꯁꯤꯒꯤ ꯃꯍꯩ ꯎꯅꯕ $100 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ $5 ꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯆꯥꯡꯗꯝꯅꯕꯤꯌꯨ꯫
ꯃꯑꯣꯡ ꯑꯃꯁꯨꯡ ꯌꯨꯝꯐꯃꯁꯤꯡ
p = 18/37 ꯂꯩꯕ ꯖꯨꯌꯥ ꯁꯥꯟꯅꯔꯤꯕꯒꯤ ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ ꯃꯥꯡꯕꯒꯤ ꯐꯣꯔꯃꯨꯂꯥ: P(target) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = ꯕꯦꯡꯀꯔꯣꯜ/ꯕꯦꯠ, b = ꯄꯥꯟꯗꯝ/ꯕꯦꯠ꯫ ꯐꯪꯒꯗꯕ ꯃꯇꯝ a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p)꯫ ꯆꯞ ꯃꯥꯟꯅꯕ ꯐ꯭ꯂꯦꯠ ꯕꯦꯠꯁꯤꯡ ꯈꯛ꯫